Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 87%

Rick Rieder 8.1%

Christopher Waller 2.2%

Judy Shelton 1.8%

$290,201,763 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$11,466,101 Vol.
87%

Rick Rieder
$11,031,033 Vol.
8%

Christopher Waller
$8,866,014 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$10,624,836 Vol.
2%

Kevin Hassett
$15,959,518 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$10,350,278 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$8,006,060 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$7,605,264 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,427,245 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$5,752,079 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,353,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,925,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,065,281 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$16,595,495 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,334,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,420,848 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,108,874 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,473,877 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,372,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,585,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,919,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,869,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,612,043 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$23,174,798 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$7,297,404 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 87%

Rick Rieder 8.1%

Christopher Waller 2.2%

Judy Shelton 1.8%

$290,201,763 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$11,466,101 Vol.

87%

Rick Rieder

$11,031,033 Vol.

Christopher Waller

$8,866,014 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$10,624,836 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$15,959,518 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$10,350,278 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$8,006,060 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$7,605,264 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,427,245 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$5,752,079 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,353,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,925,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,065,281 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$16,595,495 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,334,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,420,848 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,108,874 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,473,877 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,372,245 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,585,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,919,112 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,869,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,612,043 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,174,798 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$7,297,404 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$290,201,763

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

92%

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

40%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.