Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$11,092,789 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 56%
Christopher Waller 23%
Kevin Warsh 12%
Rick Rieder 5.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$523,792 Vol.
56%
Kevin Hassett
$523,792 Vol.
56%
Christopher Waller
$402,911 Vol.
23%
Christopher Waller
$402,911 Vol.
23%
Kevin Warsh
$229,192 Vol.
12%
Kevin Warsh
$229,192 Vol.
12%
Rick Rieder
$232,767 Vol.
5%
Rick Rieder
$232,767 Vol.
5%
Scott Bessent
$276,549 Vol.
3%
Scott Bessent
$276,549 Vol.
3%
Stephen Miran
$322,775 Vol.
2%
Stephen Miran
$322,775 Vol.
2%
Michelle Bowman
$141,372 Vol.
1%
Michelle Bowman
$141,372 Vol.
1%
Barron Trump
$64,283 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$64,283 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$180,632 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$180,632 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$333,707 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$333,707 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,512,241 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,512,241 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$217,876 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$217,876 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$804,632 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$804,632 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$184,045 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$184,045 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$389,356 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$389,356 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$178,482 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$178,482 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$389,555 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$389,555 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$393,346 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$393,346 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$792,405 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$792,405 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$143,811 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$143,811 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$189,594 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$189,594 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,315,127 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,315,127 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$207,160 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$207,160 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$654,494 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$654,494 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,092,789
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$11,092,789 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 56%
Christopher Waller 23%
Kevin Warsh 12%
Rick Rieder 5.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$523,792 Vol.
56%
Christopher Waller
$402,911 Vol.
23%
Kevin Warsh
$229,192 Vol.
12%
Rick Rieder
$232,767 Vol.
5%
Scott Bessent
$276,549 Vol.
3%
Stephen Miran
$322,775 Vol.
2%
Michelle Bowman
$141,372 Vol.
1%
Barron Trump
$64,283 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$180,632 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$333,707 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,512,241 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$217,876 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$804,632 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$184,045 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$389,356 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$178,482 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$389,555 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$393,346 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$792,405 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$143,811 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$189,594 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,315,127 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$207,160 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$654,494 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$11,092,789
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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