Market icon

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7,034,374 Vol.

Jan 9, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,034,374
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7,034,374 Vol.

February 28

$111,273 Vol.

3%

March 31

$764,525 Vol.

7%

About

Volume
$7,034,374
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Beware of external links.