Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Name: Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)
Start: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Jan 31

Feb 28

Mar 31

xAI 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

$148,582 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

xAI
$30,456 Vol.
100%

Google
$18,989 Vol.
<1%

OpenAI
$16,319 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$11,093 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$12,740 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$7,604 Vol.
<1%

Anthropic
$13,211 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$10,548 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$18,304 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$9,317 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

Beware of external links.

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Jan 31

Feb 28

Mar 31

xAI 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

$148,582 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

xAI

$30,456 Vol.

100%

Google

$18,989 Vol.

<1%

OpenAI

$16,319 Vol.

<1%

Z.ai

$11,093 Vol.

<1%

DeepSeek

$12,740 Vol.

<1%

Mistral

$7,604 Vol.

<1%

Anthropic

$13,211 Vol.

<1%

Alibaba

$10,548 Vol.

<1%

Moonshot

$18,304 Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$9,317 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$148,582

End Date

Jan 31, 2026

Created At

Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

40%

Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

68%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

45%

Beware of external links.