The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

Name: What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?
Start: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

$409,649 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Bacon grease
$46,096 Vol.
3%

Poison/Toxin
$51,941 Vol.
1%

Urine
$75,035 Vol.
1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained bacon grease. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if bacon grease is identified as one of its components. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

$409,649 Vol.

Bacon grease

$46,096 Vol.

Poison/Toxin

$51,941 Vol.

Urine

$75,035 Vol.

About

Volume

$409,649

End Date

Feb 28, 2026

Created At

Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

13%

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Beware of external links.