How many Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Ended50-52 100.0%
<50 <1%
53-55 <1%
56+ <1%
$108,690 Vol.
$108,690 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<50
$40,465 Vol.
No
<50
$40,465 Vol.
No
50-52
$6,074 Vol.
Yes
50-52
$6,074 Vol.
Yes
53-55
$15,564 Vol.
No
53-55
$15,564 Vol.
No
56+
$46,587 Vol.
No
56+
$46,587 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth receives less than 50 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Secretary of Defense.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If another individual is confirmed as U.S. Defense Secretary for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Hegseth is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth receives less than 50 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Secretary of Defense.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If another individual is confirmed as U.S. Defense Secretary for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Hegseth is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If another individual is confirmed as U.S. Defense Secretary for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Hegseth is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 10, 2025, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$108,690End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 10, 2025, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
How many Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Ended50-52 100.0%
<50 <1%
53-55 <1%
56+ <1%
$108,690 Vol.
$108,690 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
<50
$40,465 Vol.
No
50-52
$6,074 Vol.
Yes
53-55
$15,564 Vol.
No
56+
$46,587 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$108,690End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 10, 2025, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.