What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$322 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
↑ 5.5%
$3 Vol.
10%
↑ 5.5%
$3 Vol.
10%
↑ 5.25%
$21 Vol.
14%
↑ 5.25%
$21 Vol.
14%
↑ 5.0%
$45 Vol.
12%
↑ 5.0%
$45 Vol.
12%
↑ 4.75%
$0 Vol.
22%
↑ 4.75%
$0 Vol.
22%
↑ 4.5%
$0 Vol.
24%
↑ 4.5%
$0 Vol.
24%
↑ 4.25%
$50 Vol.
18%
↑ 4.25%
$50 Vol.
18%
↓ 3.5%
$5 Vol.
94%
↓ 3.5%
$5 Vol.
94%
↓ 3.25%
$0 Vol.
88%
↓ 3.25%
$0 Vol.
88%
↓ 3.0%
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ 3.0%
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ 2.75%
$17 Vol.
51%
↓ 2.75%
$17 Vol.
51%
↓ 2.5%
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 2.5%
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 2.25%
$0 Vol.
34%
↓ 2.25%
$0 Vol.
34%
↓ 2.0%
$50 Vol.
16%
↓ 2.0%
$50 Vol.
16%
↓ 1.75%
$11 Vol.
21%
↓ 1.75%
$11 Vol.
21%
↓ 1.5%
$5 Vol.
13%
↓ 1.5%
$5 Vol.
13%
↓ 1.25%
$0 Vol.
11%
↓ 1.25%
$0 Vol.
11%
↓ 1.0%
$0 Vol.
15%
↓ 1.0%
$0 Vol.
15%
↓ 0.75%
$70 Vol.
12%
↓ 0.75%
$70 Vol.
12%
↓ 0.5%
$0 Vol.
13%
↓ 0.5%
$0 Vol.
13%
↓ 0.25%
$45 Vol.
8%
↓ 0.25%
$45 Vol.
8%
↓ 0%
$0 Vol.
13%
↓ 0%
$0 Vol.
13%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$322
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...$322 Vol.
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
↑ 5.5%
$3 Vol.
10%
↑ 5.25%
$21 Vol.
14%
↑ 5.0%
$45 Vol.
12%
↑ 4.75%
$0 Vol.
22%
↑ 4.5%
$0 Vol.
24%
↑ 4.25%
$50 Vol.
18%
↓ 3.5%
$5 Vol.
94%
↓ 3.25%
$0 Vol.
88%
↓ 3.0%
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ 2.75%
$17 Vol.
51%
↓ 2.5%
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 2.25%
$0 Vol.
34%
↓ 2.0%
$50 Vol.
16%
↓ 1.75%
$11 Vol.
21%
↓ 1.5%
$5 Vol.
13%
↓ 1.25%
$0 Vol.
11%
↓ 1.0%
$0 Vol.
15%
↓ 0.75%
$70 Vol.
12%
↓ 0.5%
$0 Vol.
13%
↓ 0.25%
$45 Vol.
8%
↓ 0%
$0 Vol.
13%
About
Volume
$322
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...



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