Market icon

Will China invade Taiwan in 2023?

>99% chance

$100,167 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the PRC, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,167
End Date
Dec 31, 2023
Created At
Oct 10, 2023, 12:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the PRC, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will China invade Taiwan in 2023?

>99% chance

$100,167 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the PRC, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,167
End Date
Dec 31, 2023
Created At
Oct 10, 2023, 12:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the PRC, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.