Trump approval rating on January 2?
$26,540 Vol.
42.0–42.4 77%
41.5–41.9 21%
42.5–42.9 2.8%
41.0–41.4 <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<41.0
$4,165 Vol.
<1%
<41.0
$4,165 Vol.
<1%
41.0–41.4
$11,299 Vol.
1%
41.0–41.4
$11,299 Vol.
1%
41.5–41.9
$3,736 Vol.
21%
41.5–41.9
$3,736 Vol.
21%
42.0–42.4
$4,503 Vol.
77%
42.0–42.4
$4,503 Vol.
77%
42.5–42.9
$1,780 Vol.
3%
42.5–42.9
$1,780 Vol.
3%
43.0+
$1,057 Vol.
1%
43.0+
$1,057 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on January 2, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Dec 25, 2025, 6:36 PM UTC
Volume
$26,540End Date
Jan 2, 2026Created At
Dec 25, 2025, 6:36 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$26,540 Vol.
Trump approval rating on January 2?
42.0–42.4 77%
41.5–41.9 21%
42.5–42.9 2.8%
41.0–41.4 <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<41.0
$4,165 Vol.
<1%
41.0–41.4
$11,299 Vol.
1%
41.5–41.9
$3,736 Vol.
21%
42.0–42.4
$4,503 Vol.
77%
42.5–42.9
$1,780 Vol.
3%
43.0+
$1,057 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$26,540End Date
Jan 2, 2026Created At
Dec 25, 2025, 6:36 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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