Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Name: Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Start: 2025-09-29T19:08:02.634655Z
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z

$2,716,406 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Paul Thomas Anderson 78%

Chloé Zhao 11.6%

Josh Safdie 2.8%

Ryan Coogler 1.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson
$312,578 Vol.
78%

Chloé Zhao
$20,563 Vol.
12%
0123456789
%

Josh Safdie
$315,295 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Ryan Coogler
$31,476 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Guillermo del Toro
$63,346 Vol.
2%

Joachim Trier
$87,814 Vol.
1%

Jafar Panahi
$209,402 Vol.
1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$24,348 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Benny Safdie
$112,693 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$63,328 Vol.
<1%

Park Chan-wook
$590,396 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$53,080 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jon M. Chu
$275,538 Vol.
<1%

Hikari
$535,475 Vol.
<1%

Derek Cianfrance
$21,637 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Director.

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$2,716,406

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,716,406 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson 78%

Chloé Zhao 11.6%

Josh Safdie 2.8%

Ryan Coogler 1.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$312,578 Vol.

78%

Chloé Zhao

$20,563 Vol.

12%

Josh Safdie

$315,295 Vol.

Ryan Coogler

$31,476 Vol.

Guillermo del Toro

$63,346 Vol.

Joachim Trier

$87,814 Vol.

Jafar Panahi

$209,402 Vol.

Kathryn Bigelow

$24,348 Vol.

<1%

Benny Safdie

$112,693 Vol.

<1%

Yorgos Lanthimos

$63,328 Vol.

<1%

Park Chan-wook

$590,396 Vol.

<1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho

$53,080 Vol.

<1%

Jon M. Chu

$275,538 Vol.

<1%

Hikari

$535,475 Vol.

<1%

Derek Cianfrance

$21,637 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,716,406

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

95%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

61%

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

55%

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson
$312,578 Vol.
78%

Chloé Zhao
$20,563 Vol.
12%
0123456789
%

Josh Safdie
$315,295 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Ryan Coogler
$31,476 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Guillermo del Toro
$63,346 Vol.
2%

Joachim Trier
$87,814 Vol.
1%

Jafar Panahi
$209,402 Vol.
1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$24,348 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Benny Safdie
$112,693 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$63,328 Vol.
<1%

Park Chan-wook
$590,396 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$53,080 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jon M. Chu
$275,538 Vol.
<1%

Hikari
$535,475 Vol.
<1%

Derek Cianfrance
$21,637 Vol.
<1%

Market Context