Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
$1,580,783 Vol.
Timothée Chalamet 61%
Leonardo DiCaprio 18%
Ethan Hawke 14.2%
Wagner Moura 3.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
$44,817 Vol.
61%
Timothée Chalamet
$44,817 Vol.
61%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$156,833 Vol.
18%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$156,833 Vol.
18%
Ethan Hawke
$98,817 Vol.
14%
Ethan Hawke
$98,817 Vol.
14%
Wagner Moura
$23,721 Vol.
3%
Wagner Moura
$23,721 Vol.
3%
Michael B. Jordan
$15,019 Vol.
2%
Michael B. Jordan
$15,019 Vol.
2%
Paul Mescal
$29,290 Vol.
1%
Paul Mescal
$29,290 Vol.
1%
Dwayne Johnson
$168,719 Vol.
1%
Dwayne Johnson
$168,719 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$19,479 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$19,479 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$16,051 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$16,051 Vol.
1%
Jesse Plemons
$18,677 Vol.
<1%
Jesse Plemons
$18,677 Vol.
<1%
Jeremy Allen White
$23,760 Vol.
<1%
Jeremy Allen White
$23,760 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$119,353 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$119,353 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$264,020 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$264,020 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$432,582 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$432,582 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$150,089 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$150,089 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,580,783
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,580,783 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Timothée Chalamet 61%
Leonardo DiCaprio 18%
Ethan Hawke 14.2%
Wagner Moura 3.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Timothée Chalamet
$44,817 Vol.
61%
Leonardo DiCaprio
$156,833 Vol.
18%
Ethan Hawke
$98,817 Vol.
14%
Wagner Moura
$23,721 Vol.
3%
Michael B. Jordan
$15,019 Vol.
2%
Paul Mescal
$29,290 Vol.
1%
Dwayne Johnson
$168,719 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$19,479 Vol.
1%
Daniel Day-Lewis
$16,051 Vol.
1%
Jesse Plemons
$18,677 Vol.
<1%
Jeremy Allen White
$23,760 Vol.
<1%
Brendan Fraser
$119,353 Vol.
<1%
Channing Tatum
$264,020 Vol.
<1%
Colin Farrell
$432,582 Vol.
<1%
Hugh Jackman
$150,089 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$1,580,783
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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