Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

$6,183,349 Vol.

One Battle After Another 55%

Hamnet 25%

Marty Supreme 7.0%

Sinners 5.5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$6,183,349

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

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Beware of external links.

$6,183,349 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another 55%

Hamnet 25%

Marty Supreme 7.0%

Sinners 5.5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$217,178 Vol.

55%

Hamnet

$158,607 Vol.

25%

Marty Supreme

$91,864 Vol.

7%

Sinners

$66,715 Vol.

6%

Sentimental Value

$43,937 Vol.

2%

Bugonia

$264,354 Vol.

2%

Frankenstein

$347,557 Vol.

2%

Wicked: For Good

$522,055 Vol.

1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$98,286 Vol.

1%

It Was Just an Accident

$545,112 Vol.

1%

Jay Kelly

$803,182 Vol.

<1%

A House of Dynamite

$871,964 Vol.

<1%

No Other Choice

$594,531 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$603,576 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$954,551 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$6,183,349

End Date

Mar 15, 2026