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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10.5%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

International Court of Justice 4.9%

$3,455,966 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$3,455,966
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10.5%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

International Court of Justice 4.9%

$3,455,966 Vol.

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Donald Trump

$1,500,408 Vol.

13%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$138,261 Vol.

11%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$40,395 Vol.

7%

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International Court of Justice

$51,577 Vol.

5%

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UNRWA

$26,503 Vol.

5%

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Pope Leo XIV

$44,798 Vol.

3%

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Greta Thunberg

$34,270 Vol.

3%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$37,745 Vol.

3%

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Narendra Modi

$122,466 Vol.

1%

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Khaled Mashal

$48,258 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$153,017 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$397,124 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$211,100 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$77,684 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$93,080 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$161,052 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$146,570 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$85,630 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$75,804 Vol.

<1%

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António Guterres

$10,224 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$3,455,966
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Beware of external links.