How long will the Government Shutdown last?
NEW
Mar 14, 2026
1+ day
$101 Vol.
68%
1+ day
$101 Vol.
68%
3+ days
$40 Vol.
68%
3+ days
$40 Vol.
68%
7+ days
$30 Vol.
40%
7+ days
$30 Vol.
40%
14+ days
$57 Vol.
19%
14+ days
$57 Vol.
19%
30+ days
$380 Vol.
10%
30+ days
$380 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and the government remains shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution sources for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and the government remains shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution sources for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution sources for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 6, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$609End Date
Mar 14, 2026Created At
Feb 6, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...How long will the Government Shutdown last?
$609 Vol.
1+ day
$101 Vol.
68%
3+ days
$40 Vol.
68%
7+ days
$30 Vol.
40%
14+ days
$57 Vol.
19%
30+ days
$380 Vol.
10%
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