How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Name: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Dec 31

$65,414 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

4.4%
$120 Vol.
71%

4.5%
$2,623 Vol.
60%

4.6%
$4,752 Vol.
39%

4.8%
$36,036 Vol.
18%

5.0%
$11,296 Vol.
13%

5.2%
$3,181 Vol.
9%

5.5%
$576 Vol.
5%

5.7%
$636 Vol.
5%

6.0%
$156 Vol.
4%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Dec 31

$65,414 Vol.

4.4%

$120 Vol.

71%

4.5%

$2,623 Vol.

60%

4.6%

$4,752 Vol.

39%

4.8%

$36,036 Vol.

18%

5.0%

$11,296 Vol.

13%

5.2%

$3,181 Vol.

5.5%

$576 Vol.

5.7%

$636 Vol.

6.0%

$156 Vol.

About

Volume

$65,414

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

53%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?

73%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

12%

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