Economy

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b

75%

$100–200b

<$100b

75%

$100–200b

$4m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

chance

$4m Vol.

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

<1%

chance

$804k Vol.

Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Norway

Sweden

Norway

Sweden

$404k Vol.

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

chance

$1m Vol.

Asked by

Jason Calacanis

Will Trump visit China by...?

March 31, 2026

April 30, 2026

82%

March 31, 2026

April 30, 2026

82%

$998k Vol.

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

<1%

chance

$230k Vol.

How many SCOTUS justices rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

14%

$116k Vol.

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

$140

18%

$120

19%

$140

18%

$120

19%

$76k Vol.

Monthly

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...? card icon

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?

27%

chance

$11k Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

16%

chance

$27k Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico

37%

Canada

34%

Mexico

37%

Canada

34%

$159k Vol.

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

90%

chance

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Daily

Trade War Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Economy

Economy