When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Name: When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
Start: 2024-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2024-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Q2 100.0%

Not proven in 2024 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

$687,038 Vol.

Mar 31, 2024

Q1
$711 Vol.
No

Q2
$574 Vol.
No

Q3
$12,798 Vol.
No

Q4
$399,922 Vol.
No

Not proven in 2024
$273,034 Vol.
Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is/are definitively proven between January 1, 2024, and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Q2 100.0%

Not proven in 2024 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

$687,038 Vol.

Mar 31, 2024

$711 Vol.

$574 Vol.

$12,798 Vol.

$399,922 Vol.

Not proven in 2024

$273,034 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume

$687,038

End Date

Dec 31, 2024

Created At

Feb 27, 2024, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

30%

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?

83%

Beware of external links.

When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Q1
$711 Vol.
No

Q2
$574 Vol.
No

Q3
$12,798 Vol.
No

Q4
$399,922 Vol.
No

Not proven in 2024
$273,034 Vol.
Yes

Market Context