Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing

55% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics
- Starmer out
- Insurrection Act invoked
- March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause"
- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- US-Iran nuclear deal
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Volume
$6,817
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Feb 9, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing

55% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics
- Starmer out
- Insurrection Act invoked
- March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause"
- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- US-Iran nuclear deal
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Volume
$6,817
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Feb 9, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf

Beware of external links.