Highest temperature in NYC on January 1?
NEW
34°F or higher 41%
32-33°F 38%
30-31°F 18%
28-29°F 6.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
23°F or below
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
23°F or below
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
24-25°F
$669 Vol.
1%
24-25°F
$669 Vol.
1%
26-27°F
$178 Vol.
1%
26-27°F
$178 Vol.
1%
28-29°F
$791 Vol.
7%
28-29°F
$791 Vol.
7%
30-31°F
$51 Vol.
18%
30-31°F
$51 Vol.
18%
32-33°F
$58 Vol.
38%
32-33°F
$58 Vol.
38%
34°F or higher
$5 Vol.
41%
34°F or higher
$5 Vol.
41%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jan '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC
Volume
$3,449End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
Highest temperature in NYC on January 1?
34°F or higher 41%
32-33°F 38%
30-31°F 18%
28-29°F 6.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
23°F or below
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
24-25°F
$669 Vol.
1%
26-27°F
$178 Vol.
1%
28-29°F
$791 Vol.
7%
30-31°F
$51 Vol.
18%
32-33°F
$58 Vol.
38%
34°F or higher
$5 Vol.
41%
About
Volume
$3,449End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Dec 30, 2025, 11:00 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.