Market icon

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

$51,722 Vol.

10-20 years 30%

20-30 years 15.2%

5-10 years 12.8%

30+ years 11.6%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$51,722

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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$51,722 Vol.

Market icon

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

10-20 years 30%

20-30 years 15.2%

5-10 years 12.8%

30+ years 11.6%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No Prison Time

$9,466 Vol.

9%

<5 years

$6,918 Vol.

1%

5-10 years

$4,849 Vol.

13%

10-20 years

$12,215 Vol.

30%

20-30 years

$12,697 Vol.

15%

30+ years

$5,577 Vol.

12%

About

Volume

$51,722

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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