Name: #1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)
Start: 2025-12-26T19:44:30.524698Z
End: 2026-01-01T00:00:00Z

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Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled January 2.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled January 2 by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! - Dean Martin

Golden - HUNTR/X

Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms

The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole

It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year - Andy Williams

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee

All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey

Last Christmas - Wham!

Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

Top US Spotify Song

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled December 18.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled December 18 by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (December 18)

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled December 26.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled December 26 by December 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (December 26)

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. 

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

This market will resolve according to the listed songs within the Billboard Hot 100’s Top 10 for the week titled “week of January 3, 2026”.

Only the listed songs within spots numbered 1 through 10 (inclusive) will qualify towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year - Andy Williams be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake’s next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Justin Bieber song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between October 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, January 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stranger Things: Season 5 has greater than or equal to 75,000,000 views for the week of January 6.

The resolution of this market is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Sabrina Carpenter song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning December 29, 2025, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500.

The performance of each index will be the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" tables for the Warren Buffett Index and the Bill Ackman Index, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figures found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified week.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the 1-week trailing percentage return). Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If multiple indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve according to the Index whose abbreviation comes first, as listed in this market group. 

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price or 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If any of the relevant days lack a specified closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. 

If the Warren Buffett Index or the Bill Ackman Index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of December 29?

In November, a song reported to be the product of an AI-generated artist reached the top of the Billboard's Country Digital Song Sales chart. (see: https://www.barrons.com/news/ai-country-song-rollicks-to-the-top-of-us-sales-chart-7fe99e8a)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song widely reported to be entirely AI-generated reaches number 1 on any Billboard chart between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A song will be considered fully AI-generated if all vocals, musical composition, and production elements are created primarily by AI. Human actions such as prompting, mixing, and editing will not disqualify a song provided all audio content originates from AI.

Songs reported to have used AI-generated lyrics but not AI-generated voices, AI-assisted human vocals or instruments, or remixes, mash-ups, or covers using human-performed components will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song released by GELO after March 31 is on the Billboard Hot 100 chart at any point between April 1, and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

Will GELO drop another Billboard top 100 hit in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BTS (방탄소년단) releases any new music track credited to the group between June 3 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The track must be publicly released through major music platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube) and must be announced via official BTS or BigHit Music channels. The release must include new musical content; re-releases, remasters, or compilations of previously released songs do not count unless they contain newly recorded material.

Tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than "BTS" as a group will not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be any official BTS streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Song. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Golden - HUNTR/X win Best Song at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Blackpink (블랙핑크, BLɅϽKPIИK) officially releases a new album by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

The resolution source will be any official Blackpink streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Sanremo 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Sanremo 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Sanremo rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanremo (https://sanremofestival.info/), including live footage of Sanremo 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played first by any performer during the Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by any performer during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Melodifestivalen 2026, who will represent Sweden in the 2026 Eurovision song contest.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Melodifestivalen 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Melodifestivalen rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Melodifastivalen (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/sweden/melodifestivalen-2026), including live footage of Melodifestivalen 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
$973 Vol.
97%
0123456789
%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean
$873 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Golden - HUNTR/X
$976 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Last Christmas - Wham!
$5,156 Vol.
1%

It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year - Andy Williams
$18,516 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
$11,141 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande
$3,590 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! - Dean Martin
$19,291 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee
$10,862 Vol.
<1%

The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole
$18,023 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

Rules

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

Market Context

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

About

Related

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift$973 Vol.97%0123456789%buy Yes98.5¢buy No4.7¢

Man I Need - Olivia Dean$873 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes5.4¢buy No98.0¢

Golden - HUNTR/X$976 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes2.2¢buy No99.9¢

Last Christmas - Wham!$5,156 Vol.1%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.9¢

It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year - Andy Williams$18,516 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No0.0¢

All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey$11,141 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No0.0¢

Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande$3,590 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No0.0¢

Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! - Dean Martin$19,291 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No0.0¢

Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms$2,668 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee$10,862 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole$18,023 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

Rules

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

Market Context

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)

About

Related

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
$973 Vol.
97%
0123456789
%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean
$873 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Golden - HUNTR/X
$976 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Last Christmas - Wham!
$5,156 Vol.
1%

It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year - Andy Williams
$18,516 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
$11,141 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande
$3,590 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! - Dean Martin
$19,291 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee
$10,862 Vol.
<1%

The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole
$18,023 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%