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Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?

68% chance
NEW

Rules

Each year on February 2nd, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s ‘Punxsutawney Phil’ groundhog predicts whether there will be 6 more weeks of winter or an early spring, based on whether or not the groundhog sees its shadow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter, on February 2nd, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club (https://www.groundhog.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
End Date
Feb 2, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Each year on February 2nd, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s ‘Punxsutawney Phil’ groundhog predicts whether there will be 6 more weeks of winter or an early spring, based on whether or not the groundhog sees its shadow. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter, on February 2nd, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club (https://www.groundhog.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?

68% chance
NEW

About

Each year on February 2nd, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s ‘Punxsutawney Phil’ groundhog predicts whether there will be 6 more weeks of winter or an early spring, based on whether or not the groundhog sees its shadow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter, on February 2nd, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club (https://www.groundhog.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
End Date
Feb 2, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Each year on February 2nd, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s ‘Punxsutawney Phil’ groundhog predicts whether there will be 6 more weeks of winter or an early spring, based on whether or not the groundhog sees its shadow. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter, on February 2nd, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club (https://www.groundhog.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.