Market icon

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

$3,053 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").

A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

$3,053

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

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Beware of external links.

$3,053 Vol.

Market icon

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

December 31, 2025

$3,024 Vol.

20%

June 30, 2026

$27 Vol.

52%

December 31, 2026

$2 Vol.

78%

About

Volume

$3,053

End Date

Dec 31, 2026