Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$3,053 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31, 2025
$3,024 Vol.
20%
December 31, 2025
$3,024 Vol.
20%
June 30, 2026
$27 Vol.
52%
June 30, 2026
$27 Vol.
52%
December 31, 2026
$2 Vol.
78%
December 31, 2026
$2 Vol.
78%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,053
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...$3,053 Vol.
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31, 2025
$3,024 Vol.
20%
June 30, 2026
$27 Vol.
52%
December 31, 2026
$2 Vol.
78%
About
Volume
$3,053
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...
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