Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAI 16%
None by June 30 12.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
$304,391 Vol.
$304,391 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Google
$40,540 Vol.
68%
$40,540 Vol.
68%
xAI
$20,034 Vol.
16%
xAI
$20,034 Vol.
16%
None by June 30
$17,125 Vol.
13%
None by June 30
$17,125 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$27,962 Vol.
3%
OpenAI
$27,962 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$47,687 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$47,687 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,173 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,173 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,688 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,688 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Created At: Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
Volume
$304,391End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAI 16%
None by June 30 12.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
$304,391 Vol.
$304,391 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
$40,540 Vol.
68%
xAI
$20,034 Vol.
16%
None by June 30
$17,125 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$27,962 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$47,687 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,173 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,688 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$304,391End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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