Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Name: Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Start: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Feb 28, 2026

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$754 Vol.

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$4 Vol.

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$0 Vol.

64%

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$1 Vol.

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Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?

77%

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

31%

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

82%

Beware of external links.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+$4 Vol.65%Buy Yes73¢Buy No44¢

45%+$0 Vol.64%Buy Yes73¢Buy No45¢

50%+$1 Vol.36%Buy Yes44¢Buy No73¢

60%+$749 Vol.45%Buy Yes85¢Buy No94¢

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

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40%+
$4 Vol.
65%

45%+
$0 Vol.
64%

50%+
$1 Vol.
36%

60%+
$749 Vol.
45%