Gas price per blob 1 month after EIP-4844?
<0.0001 ETH 100.0%
0.0001 - 0.001 ETH 100.0%
0.001 - 0.01 ETH 100.0%
0.01 - 0.1 ETH 100.0%
$299,593 Vol.
$299,593 Vol.
Dec 29, 2024
<0.0001 ETH
$49,401 Vol.
Yes
<0.0001 ETH
$49,401 Vol.
Yes
0.0001 - 0.001 ETH
$28,145 Vol.
No
0.0001 - 0.001 ETH
$28,145 Vol.
No
0.001 - 0.01 ETH
$51,101 Vol.
No
0.001 - 0.01 ETH
$51,101 Vol.
No
0.01 - 0.1 ETH
$54,946 Vol.
No
0.01 - 0.1 ETH
$54,946 Vol.
No
>0.1 ETH
$35,365 Vol.
No
>0.1 ETH
$35,365 Vol.
No
EIP-4844 doesn't launch in 2024
$80,635 Vol.
No
EIP-4844 doesn't launch in 2024
$80,635 Vol.
No
Rules
Ethereum Improvement Proposal 4844 (or “proto-danksharding”) is a major step toward scaling Ethereum. It lowers the cost of posting L2 rollup data to the Ethereum mainnet via “blobs” (see https://consensys.io/blog/ethereum-evolved-dencun-upgrade-part-5-eip-4844). There has been much discussion about what the gas prices per blob will be after EIP-4844 is introduced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is less than 0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.
Ethereum Improvement Proposal 4844 (or “proto-danksharding”) is a major step toward scaling Ethereum. It lowers the cost of posting L2 rollup data to the Ethereum mainnet via “blobs” (see https://consensys.io/blog/ethereum-evolved-dencun-upgrade-part-5-eip-4844). There has been much discussion about what the gas prices per blob will be after EIP-4844 is introduced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is less than 0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is less than 0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.
Created At: Jan 19, 2024, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$299,593End Date
Apr 19, 2024Created At
Jan 19, 2024, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Gas price per blob 1 month after EIP-4844?
<0.0001 ETH 100.0%
0.0001 - 0.001 ETH 100.0%
0.001 - 0.01 ETH 100.0%
0.01 - 0.1 ETH 100.0%
$299,593 Vol.
$299,593 Vol.
Dec 29, 2024
<0.0001 ETH
$49,401 Vol.
Yes
0.0001 - 0.001 ETH
$28,145 Vol.
No
0.001 - 0.01 ETH
$51,101 Vol.
No
0.01 - 0.1 ETH
$54,946 Vol.
No
>0.1 ETH
$35,365 Vol.
No
EIP-4844 doesn't launch in 2024
$80,635 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$299,593End Date
Apr 19, 2024Created At
Jan 19, 2024, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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