0123456789
0123456789

 Fed Rates polymarkets

Fed decision in December?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in December?

88%

25 bps decrease

$186m Vol.

$5m today

$7m Liq.

1,893

Ends in 10 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed Rates

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

56%

Kevin Hassett

$11m Vol.

$2m today

$526k Liq.

52

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decision in January?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in January?

68%

No change

$1m Vol.

$89.4k today

$287k Liq.

1,369

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed Rates

Trump

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

44%

No announcement by December 31

$6m Vol.

$219k Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

Fed Rates

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

87%

3 (75 bps)

$26m Vol.

$1m Liq.

78

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed Rates

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

23%

3 (75 bps)

$546k Vol.

$537k Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 year

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Fed Rates

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

3%

4.6%

$5m Vol.

$209k Liq.

167

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decision in March?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in March?

57%

No change

$44.5k Vol.

$234k Liq.

418

Ends in 4 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed Rates

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

40%

2

$48.7k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

64%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$403k Vol.

$60.2k Liq.

15

Ends in 2 months

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Fed Rates

Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

2%

$1m Vol.

$38.0k Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Fed Rates

Business

Fed rate hike in 2025?

1%

$839k Vol.

$41.7k Liq.

29

Ends in 11 days

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

1%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$15.1k Liq.

1,094

Ends in about 1 month

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

Fed Rates

Politics

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

46%

3.9%

$819k Vol.

$64.5k Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

Fed Rates

Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

3%

$12.2k Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

2%

$11m Vol.

$126k Liq.

420

Ends in about 1 month

Fed abolished in 2025?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed abolished in 2025?

1%

$390k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)

Fed Rates

Fed

Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)

88%

Cut–Cut–Cut

$1m Vol.

$56.1k Liq.

15

Ends in 10 days

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

Fed Rates

Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

2%

No Change

$9.8k Vol.

$10.9k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

38%

Cut–Pause–Cut

$47.4k Vol.

$96.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months