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Fed Rates
Fed decision in December?
$186m Vol.
$5m today
$7m Liq.
1,893
Ends in 10 days
88%
25 bps decrease
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$11m Vol.
$2m today
$526k Liq.
52
Ends in about 1 year
56%
Kevin Hassett
Fed decision in January?
$1m Vol.
$89.4k today
$287k Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 2 months
68%
No change
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$6m Vol.
$219k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
44%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?
$26m Vol.
$1m Liq.
78
87%
3 (75 bps)
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$546k Vol.
$537k Liq.
6
23%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$209k Liq.
167
3%
4.6%
Fed decision in March?
$44.5k Vol.
$234k Liq.
418
Ends in 4 months
57%
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$48.7k Vol.
$18.0k Liq.
1
40%
2
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$403k Vol.
$60.2k Liq.
15
Ends in 2 months
64%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$38.0k Liq.
5
2%
Fed rate hike in 2025?
$839k Vol.
$41.7k Liq.
29
Ends in 11 days
1%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$10m Vol.
$15.1k Liq.
1,094
December 31
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$819k Vol.
$64.5k Liq.
17
46%
3.9%
Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?
$12.2k Vol.
$12.5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$126k Liq.
420
Fed abolished in 2025?
$390k Vol.
$9.0k Liq.
Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)
$56.1k Liq.
Cut–Cut–Cut
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?
$9.8k Vol.
$10.9k Liq.
No Change
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$47.4k Vol.
$96.8k Liq.
38%
Cut–Pause–Cut
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