Market icon

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

$111,244 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv located on Pryvokzalna Vulytsia by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the listed date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the train station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/1-c65ebdaaff.png

Train station location in Orikhiv: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2-b63c422f94.png

Orikhiv Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/3-aee64f6cc6.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/DrzoGJft79yx9dxd9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Volume

$111,244

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

shield

Beware of external links.

$111,244 Vol.

Market icon

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

November 30

$105,881 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$5,363 Vol.

4%

About

Volume

$111,244

End Date

Dec 31, 2025