Name: What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?
Start: 2025-11-25T05:18:34.249211Z
End: 2026-01-01T04:59:59.999Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during December 2025 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

↑ $570

↑ $533

↑ $503

↑ $473

↑ $450

↑ $435

↑ $420

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during December 2025 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

↓ $405

↓ $390

↓ $375

↓ $353

↓ $330

↓ $300

↓ $263

Tesla Hit Price Monthly

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in November 2025?

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in November 2025?

What price will Tesla (TSLA) hit before 2026?

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that xAI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Tesla (Tesla inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by xAI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.

To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.

The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 4 (inclusive) and 6 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 160 (inclusive) and 179 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla publicly releases an unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability that satisfies all of the following criteria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

1. Tesla (or Elon Musk) must label the feature “Full Self-Driving” or use an equivalent name indicating no requirement for human intervention.

2. The system must operate on public roads without a human driver present or required to oversee its performance. In practice, this means either:
- The vehicle runs with no one in the driver’s seat, or
- The vehicle operates in a mode where no occupant is expected to monitor or intervene.

3. Tesla or any Tesla-affiliated entity must make the unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability broadly accessible either through a robo-taxi or ride-hailing service open to the public, or inclusion as a standard or optional feature on newly sold Tesla vehicles, or a software update that enables unsupervised operation in current vehicles.

Any mode that requires a licensed driver to be seated in the vehicle, or for a human (on-site or remote) to continuously supervise the driving performance or remain ready to intervene at any moment, will not qualify. However, remote monitoring that does not involve continuous supervision or expectation of real-time intervention—for example, oversight limited to emergency response—will not disqualify the service.

This market’s resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025. 

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla.

The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.1 percent or more over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2025 report is issued. Once the December 2025 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2025 is not issued by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

↑ $570
$125 Vol.
10%

↑ $533
$0 Vol.
44%

↑ $503
$0 Vol.
51%

↑ $473
$5 Vol.
51%
0123456789
%

↑ $450
$0 Vol.
57%

↑ $435
$0 Vol.
74%

↑ $420
$0 Vol.
91%

↓ $405
$0 Vol.
85%

↓ $390
$0 Vol.
49%

↓ $375
$0 Vol.
51%

↓ $353
$0 Vol.
48%

↓ $330
$170 Vol.
49%
0123456789
%

↓ $300
$235 Vol.
11%
0123456789
%

↓ $263
$83 Vol.
14%

Market Context

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

Rules

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

Market Context

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

About

Related

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

↑ $570$125 Vol.10%buy Yes18¢buy No99¢

↑ $533$0 Vol.44%buy Yes85¢buy No97¢

↑ $503$0 Vol.51%buy Yes98¢buy No97¢

↑ $473$5 Vol.51%0123456789%buy Yes92¢buy No91¢

↑ $450$0 Vol.57%buy Yes97¢buy No83¢

↑ $435$0 Vol.74%buy Yes96¢buy No48¢

↑ $420$0 Vol.91%buy Yes98¢buy No17¢

↓ $405$0 Vol.85%buy Yes96¢buy No26¢

↓ $390$0 Vol.49%buy Yes92¢buy No95¢

↓ $375$0 Vol.51%buy Yes98¢buy No96¢

↓ $353$0 Vol.48%buy Yes94¢buy No98¢

↓ $330$170 Vol.49%0123456789%buy Yes97¢buy No99¢

↓ $300$235 Vol.11%0123456789%buy Yes21.9¢buy No99.4¢

↓ $263$83 Vol.14%buy Yes23¢buy No95¢

Market Context

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

Rules

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

Market Context

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in December 2025?

About

Related

↑ $570
$125 Vol.
10%

↑ $533
$0 Vol.
44%

↑ $503
$0 Vol.
51%

↑ $473
$5 Vol.
51%
0123456789
%

↑ $450
$0 Vol.
57%

↑ $435
$0 Vol.
74%

↑ $420
$0 Vol.
91%

↓ $405
$0 Vol.
85%

↓ $390
$0 Vol.
49%

↓ $375
$0 Vol.
51%

↓ $353
$0 Vol.
48%

↓ $330
$170 Vol.
49%
0123456789
%

↓ $300
$235 Vol.
11%
0123456789
%

↓ $263
$83 Vol.
14%