Market icon

Trump approval rating on December 5?

NEW

41.0–41.4 41%

40.5–40.9 27%

41.5–41.9 13%

<40.5 12%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 5, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market

Volume

$1,265

End Date

Dec 5, 2025

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NEW

Market icon

Trump approval rating on December 5?

41.0–41.4 41%

40.5–40.9 27%

41.5–41.9 13%

<40.5 12%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

<40.5

$188 Vol.

12%

40.5–40.9

$158 Vol.

27%

41.0–41.4

$598 Vol.

41%

41.5–41.9

$55 Vol.

13%

42.0–42.4

$33 Vol.

7%

42.5+

$233 Vol.

3%

About

Volume

$1,265

End Date

Dec 5, 2025