Name: Second highest grossing movie in 2025?
Start: 2025-08-15T21:15:26.609761Z
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Zootopia 2

Avatar 3

Lilo and Stitch

Wicked: For Good

A Minecraft Movie

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Movies), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Movies” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) will have the third-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) grosses the third-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If three other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve according to the actor ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Actors), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Actors” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

This market will resolve according to how much "Wicked: For Good" Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day weekend (November 26 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve to "Wicked" if “Wicked: For Good” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "Avatar: Fire and Ash" (2025).

This market will resolve to "Avatar" if “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (2025) will gross at least as much on its opening weekend compared to "Wicked: For Good" (2025).

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "Wicked: For Good" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (November 21-23/December 19-21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). 

Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Cinematography. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Umamusume: Pretty Derby win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Production Design. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Film Editing. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2025 shows the second greatest increase of any previously recorded year when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly which is the second greatest of any previously recorded year for 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for 2024 and/or 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2025 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the 2nd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor. 

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. 

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve according to the television show ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → TV Shows), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “TV Shows” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, through season specification), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search “Actors” list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Actors), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Actors” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options ranks within the Top 5 of the respective list, or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Mikey Madison rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its top song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the third most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its third most-streamed song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 2, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Charlie Kirk is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'Passings' list for 2025
- Pope Leo XIV is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'People' list for 2025
- Sydney Sweeney is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'Actors' list for 2025

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/, where the 2025 page will appear once released.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

Google Trends Parlay

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actress. 

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1. 


Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed albums (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed Spotify album for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its top album for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Lilo and Stitch
$66,687 Vol.
79%
0123456789
%

A Minecraft Movie
$41,618 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Zootopia 2
$51,772 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Avatar 3
$34,245 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Wicked: For Good
$42,625 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Rules

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Market Context

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

About

Related

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Lilo and Stitch$66,687 Vol.79%0123456789%buy Yes81¢buy No23¢

A Minecraft Movie$41,618 Vol.8%0123456789%buy Yes9¢buy No94¢

Zootopia 2$51,772 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes5.2¢buy No95.6¢

Avatar 3$34,245 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.2¢buy No98.4¢

Wicked: For Good$42,625 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.4¢buy No98.8¢

Market Context

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Rules

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

Market Context

Second highest grossing movie in 2025?

About

Related

Lilo and Stitch
$66,687 Vol.
79%
0123456789
%

A Minecraft Movie
$41,618 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Zootopia 2
$51,772 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Avatar 3
$34,245 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Wicked: For Good
$42,625 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%