Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations
$214,401 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Hamnet
$5,598 Vol.
97%
Hamnet
$5,598 Vol.
97%
One Battle After Another
$18,591 Vol.
96%
One Battle After Another
$18,591 Vol.
96%
Sinners
$1,565 Vol.
94%
Sinners
$1,565 Vol.
94%
Marty Supreme
$7,335 Vol.
92%
Marty Supreme
$7,335 Vol.
92%
Sentimental Value
$3,513 Vol.
84%
Sentimental Value
$3,513 Vol.
84%
Frankenstein
$10,271 Vol.
74%
Frankenstein
$10,271 Vol.
74%
It Was Just an Accident
$6,281 Vol.
71%
It Was Just an Accident
$6,281 Vol.
71%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
$5,474 Vol.
64%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
$5,474 Vol.
64%
Bugonia
$10,831 Vol.
45%
Bugonia
$10,831 Vol.
45%
Wicked: For Good
$13,884 Vol.
41%
Wicked: For Good
$13,884 Vol.
41%
Train Dreams
$6,877 Vol.
35%
Train Dreams
$6,877 Vol.
35%
No Other Choice
$14,966 Vol.
31%
No Other Choice
$14,966 Vol.
31%
The Testament of Ann Lee
$9,348 Vol.
30%
The Testament of Ann Lee
$9,348 Vol.
30%
Jay Kelly
$6,079 Vol.
28%
Jay Kelly
$6,079 Vol.
28%
Rental Family
$20,479 Vol.
14%
Rental Family
$20,479 Vol.
14%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
$713 Vol.
10%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
$713 Vol.
10%
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
$4,639 Vol.
8%
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
$4,639 Vol.
8%
Weapons
$7,083 Vol.
8%
Weapons
$7,083 Vol.
8%
The Life of Chuck
$17,135 Vol.
8%
The Life of Chuck
$17,135 Vol.
8%
Sorry Baby
$413 Vol.
8%
Sorry Baby
$413 Vol.
8%
F1
$5,463 Vol.
7%
F1
$5,463 Vol.
7%
A House of Dynamite
$9,188 Vol.
7%
A House of Dynamite
$9,188 Vol.
7%
Die My Love
$1,684 Vol.
6%
Die My Love
$1,684 Vol.
6%
The Smashing Machine
$15,592 Vol.
5%
The Smashing Machine
$15,592 Vol.
5%
The Lost Bus
$505 Vol.
5%
The Lost Bus
$505 Vol.
5%
Sound of Falling
$253 Vol.
5%
Sound of Falling
$253 Vol.
5%
After the Hunt
$218 Vol.
4%
After the Hunt
$218 Vol.
4%
Warfare
$330 Vol.
4%
Warfare
$330 Vol.
4%
Nouvelle Vague
$2,159 Vol.
4%
Nouvelle Vague
$2,159 Vol.
4%
Novocaine
$542 Vol.
4%
Novocaine
$542 Vol.
4%
Highest 2 Lowest
$1,994 Vol.
3%
Highest 2 Lowest
$1,994 Vol.
3%
Anemone
$4,172 Vol.
3%
Anemone
$4,172 Vol.
3%
Thunderbolts
$1,226 Vol.
2%
Thunderbolts
$1,226 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$214,401
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...$214,401 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Hamnet
$5,598 Vol.
97%
One Battle After Another
$18,591 Vol.
96%
Sinners
$1,565 Vol.
94%
Marty Supreme
$7,335 Vol.
92%
Sentimental Value
$3,513 Vol.
84%
Frankenstein
$10,271 Vol.
74%
It Was Just an Accident
$6,281 Vol.
71%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
$5,474 Vol.
64%
Bugonia
$10,831 Vol.
45%
Wicked: For Good
$13,884 Vol.
41%
Train Dreams
$6,877 Vol.
35%
No Other Choice
$14,966 Vol.
31%
The Testament of Ann Lee
$9,348 Vol.
30%
Jay Kelly
$6,079 Vol.
28%
Rental Family
$20,479 Vol.
14%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
$713 Vol.
10%
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
$4,639 Vol.
8%
Weapons
$7,083 Vol.
8%
The Life of Chuck
$17,135 Vol.
8%
Sorry Baby
$413 Vol.
8%
F1
$5,463 Vol.
7%
A House of Dynamite
$9,188 Vol.
7%
Die My Love
$1,684 Vol.
6%
The Smashing Machine
$15,592 Vol.
5%
The Lost Bus
$505 Vol.
5%
Sound of Falling
$253 Vol.
5%
After the Hunt
$218 Vol.
4%
Warfare
$330 Vol.
4%
Nouvelle Vague
$2,159 Vol.
4%
Novocaine
$542 Vol.
4%
Highest 2 Lowest
$1,994 Vol.
3%
Anemone
$4,172 Vol.
3%
Thunderbolts
$1,226 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$214,401
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.