Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations
$37,245 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Paul Thomas Anderson
$1,228 Vol.
95%
Paul Thomas Anderson
$1,228 Vol.
95%
Chloé Zhao
$3,096 Vol.
94%
Chloé Zhao
$3,096 Vol.
94%
Ryan Coogler
$7,142 Vol.
71%
Ryan Coogler
$7,142 Vol.
71%
Josh Safdie
$2,288 Vol.
59%
Josh Safdie
$2,288 Vol.
59%
Joachim Trier
$1,987 Vol.
55%
Joachim Trier
$1,987 Vol.
55%
Jafar Panahi
$2,807 Vol.
37%
Jafar Panahi
$2,807 Vol.
37%
Guillermo del Toro
$3,908 Vol.
27%
Guillermo del Toro
$3,908 Vol.
27%
Park Chan-wook
$3,201 Vol.
18%
Park Chan-wook
$3,201 Vol.
18%
James Cameron
$0 Vol.
15%
James Cameron
$0 Vol.
15%
Mona Fastvold
$2,328 Vol.
12%
Mona Fastvold
$2,328 Vol.
12%
Yorgos Lanthimos
$4,188 Vol.
12%
Yorgos Lanthimos
$4,188 Vol.
12%
Kathryn Bigelow
$1,046 Vol.
11%
Kathryn Bigelow
$1,046 Vol.
11%
Noah Baumbach
$212 Vol.
9%
Noah Baumbach
$212 Vol.
9%
Zach Cregger
$204 Vol.
6%
Zach Cregger
$204 Vol.
6%
Clint Bentley
$169 Vol.
6%
Clint Bentley
$169 Vol.
6%
Edward Berger
$51 Vol.
5%
Edward Berger
$51 Vol.
5%
Anthony Maras
$122 Vol.
5%
Anthony Maras
$122 Vol.
5%
Jon M. Chu
$1,347 Vol.
3%
Jon M. Chu
$1,347 Vol.
3%
Benny Safdie
$1,921 Vol.
2%
Benny Safdie
$1,921 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,245
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...$37,245 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Paul Thomas Anderson
$1,228 Vol.
95%
Chloé Zhao
$3,096 Vol.
94%
Ryan Coogler
$7,142 Vol.
71%
Josh Safdie
$2,288 Vol.
59%
Joachim Trier
$1,987 Vol.
55%
Jafar Panahi
$2,807 Vol.
37%
Guillermo del Toro
$3,908 Vol.
27%
Park Chan-wook
$3,201 Vol.
18%
James Cameron
$0 Vol.
15%
Mona Fastvold
$2,328 Vol.
12%
Yorgos Lanthimos
$4,188 Vol.
12%
Kathryn Bigelow
$1,046 Vol.
11%
Noah Baumbach
$212 Vol.
9%
Zach Cregger
$204 Vol.
6%
Clint Bentley
$169 Vol.
6%
Edward Berger
$51 Vol.
5%
Anthony Maras
$122 Vol.
5%
Jon M. Chu
$1,347 Vol.
3%
Benny Safdie
$1,921 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$37,245
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolver
0x65070BE91...
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