Next leader out of power before 2027?
$35,919 Vol.
Takaichi - Japan PM 32.6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 20%
Maduro - Venezuela President 12%
Schoof - Netherlands PM 9.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Takaichi - Japan PM
$1,975 Vol.
33%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$1,975 Vol.
33%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$1,529 Vol.
20%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$1,529 Vol.
20%
Maduro - Venezuela President
$2,110 Vol.
12%
Maduro - Venezuela President
$2,110 Vol.
12%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$918 Vol.
9%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$918 Vol.
9%
Putin - Russia President
$1,152 Vol.
8%
Putin - Russia President
$1,152 Vol.
8%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$943 Vol.
6%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$943 Vol.
6%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$853 Vol.
6%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$853 Vol.
6%
Lecornu - France PM
$1,026 Vol.
4%
Lecornu - France PM
$1,026 Vol.
4%
Starmer - UK PM
$1,028 Vol.
3%
Starmer - UK PM
$1,028 Vol.
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$1,029 Vol.
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$1,029 Vol.
3%
Macron - France President
$11,094 Vol.
2%
Macron - France President
$11,094 Vol.
2%
None before 2027
$1,293 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$1,293 Vol.
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$856 Vol.
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$856 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1,286 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1,286 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$1,088 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$1,088 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$1,734 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$1,734 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$944 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$944 Vol.
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$959 Vol.
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$959 Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$808 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$808 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$657 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$657 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$965 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$965 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$797 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$797 Vol.
<1%
al-Assad - Syria President
$876 Vol.
<1%
al-Assad - Syria President
$876 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,919
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$35,919 Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Takaichi - Japan PM 32.6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 20%
Maduro - Venezuela President 12%
Schoof - Netherlands PM 9.0%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Takaichi - Japan PM
$1,975 Vol.
33%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$1,529 Vol.
20%
Maduro - Venezuela President
$2,110 Vol.
12%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$918 Vol.
9%
Putin - Russia President
$1,152 Vol.
8%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$943 Vol.
6%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$853 Vol.
6%
Lecornu - France PM
$1,026 Vol.
4%
Starmer - UK PM
$1,028 Vol.
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$1,029 Vol.
3%
Macron - France President
$11,094 Vol.
2%
None before 2027
$1,293 Vol.
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$856 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1,286 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$1,088 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$1,734 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$944 Vol.
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$959 Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$808 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$657 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$965 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$797 Vol.
<1%
al-Assad - Syria President
$876 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$35,919
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...



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