Bank of England decision in December?
$278,619 Vol.
25 bps decrease 95%
No change 4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$200,793 Vol.
<1%
50+ bps decrease
$200,793 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$20,793 Vol.
95%
25 bps decrease
$20,793 Vol.
95%
No change
$18,086 Vol.
4%
No change
$18,086 Vol.
4%
Increase
$38,948 Vol.
<1%
Increase
$38,948 Vol.
<1%
Rules
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for December is scheduled to be released on December 18.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's December 2025 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's December 2025 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$278,619
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$278,619 Vol.
Bank of England decision in December?
25 bps decrease 95%
No change 4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$200,793 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$20,793 Vol.
95%
No change
$18,086 Vol.
4%
Increase
$38,948 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$278,619
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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