Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?
$16,257 Vol.
xAI 85%
DeepSeek 5%
Unknown 3.0%
Kimi 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

xAI
$2,959 Vol.
85%

xAI
$2,959 Vol.
85%

DeepSeek
$2,603 Vol.
5%

DeepSeek
$2,603 Vol.
5%

Unknown
$1,962 Vol.
3%

Unknown
$1,962 Vol.
3%

Kimi
$1,712 Vol.
3%

Kimi
$1,712 Vol.
3%

Google
$1,727 Vol.
2%

$1,727 Vol.
2%

OpenAI
$1,568 Vol.
2%

OpenAI
$1,568 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$1,697 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$1,697 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,030 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,030 Vol.
2%
Rules
The second iteration of Nof1's Alpha Arena AI trading competition, Alpha Arena Season 1.5, launched on November 19, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the lowest total account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/leaderboard) when the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition concludes.
Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/leaderboard, showing the account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market.
The first AI model whose account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “Yes” immediately.
If two or more models are tied for the lowest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the lower Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed.
If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.
This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the lowest total account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/leaderboard) when the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition concludes.
Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/leaderboard, showing the account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market.
The first AI model whose account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “Yes” immediately.
If two or more models are tied for the lowest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the lower Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed.
If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.
Volume
$16,257
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$16,257 Vol.
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?
xAI 85%
DeepSeek 5%
Unknown 3.0%
Kimi 2.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

xAI
$2,959 Vol.
85%

DeepSeek
$2,603 Vol.
5%

Unknown
$1,962 Vol.
3%

Kimi
$1,712 Vol.
3%

$1,727 Vol.
2%

OpenAI
$1,568 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$1,697 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,030 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$16,257
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.